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Could 2016-2017 be the season where Atletico Madrid gets past the top two of Real Madrid and Barcelona in La Liga? The door could be ajar a little bit with Cristiano Ronaldo suspended for the first five games for Real, while Barcelona lost Neymar to PSG. Atletico is still considered a notch below the top two by oddsmakers, so there is a ton of value on Atletico to win La Liga at odds of +3500. Atletico won La Liga in 2013-2014 but they have finished third in each of the last three seasons.
Atletico Madrid La Liga Futures Odds
Odds To Win La Liga: +3500
Odds to Finish in Top 4: -1000
It is very surprising that Atletico is getting almost no respect when it comes to winning La Liga, as their odds of +3500 are not that much better than the field, which is listed at +5000. Atletico has an excellent manager in Diego Simeone and a star player in Antoine Griezmann. Finishing in the Top 4 should be a given and even at -1000 the odds may be a bargain, considering Atletico has not finished outside of the Top 4 since 2011-2012.
Atletico Madrid Competitions in 2017-18
Spanish La Liga
Copa del Rey
Champions League
What's New?
Atletico got a number of players back who had been loaned out. They are Guilherme Siqueira who had been with Valencia, Matias Kranevitter from Sevilla, Axel Werner from Boca Juniors, Rafael Santos Borre from Villarreal, Luciano Vietto from Sevilla and Diogo Jota from Porto.
Los Rojiblancos are hoping to add Diego Costa to their squad sometime this season. Costa would not be able to play for Atletico until January but he would be a huge addition. Atletico has reportedly said they will go over $40 million to secure the transfer of Costa from Chelsea.
What's Gone?
The team lost Tiago Mendes to retirement, Theo Hernandez to Real Madrid, Alessio Cerci to Verona, Theo Hernandez to Real Madrid, Javier Manquillo to Newcastle, Vitolo to Las Palmas, Andre Moreira on loan to Braga, Diogo Jota on loan to Wolverhampton, Bernard Mensah on loan to Kasimpasa, Emiliano Velazquez to Getafe, Rafael Santos Borre to River Plate, Matias Kranevitter to Zenit and Amath Ndiaye to Getafe.
None of the losses for Atletico are of consequence, as most of the players are loans.
Atletico Madrid 2017-18 Predictions
Atletico has quietly gone under the radar compared to rivals Real and Barcelona. Atletico looked good in the Audi Cup against Napoli and Liverpool in the preseason and Simeone said heading into this season that "there are no limits" to his side.
If you simply look at recent history, it should be a really good year for Atletico in 2017-2018. They have finished with 76 or 78 points twice in the last four years and followed that season up with 90 points and 88 points respectively. Last year Los Rojiblancos finished with 78 points. If recent history is to be followed then it could be that Atletico finishes with 88 or 90 points this season. Will that be enough to win La Liga?
It took 93 points to win La Liga last season, as Real finished three points in front of Barcelona. Atletico won the title four years ago with 90 points but two years ago they finished third with 88 points.
There is a ton of value in taking Atletico to win La Liga in 2017-2018 at odds of +3500. There is no question that Real Madrid and Barcelona are considered the favorites to win the league, but it is ludicrous that Atletico is listed as a distance third choice in the betting odds. It would not be a surprise if Atletico shocked the top two and took the title in 2017-2018.
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