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Adam Gase will tell you that his first season with the Miami Dolphins wasn't the greatest. His Fins only finished 24th in the NFL in total offense and 17th in scoring, and that's far from what he considered successful. That said, the Dolphins went from having one of the worst teams in the NFL to being in the playoffs, and that has to count for something. Though no one expects the Dolphins to run down the Patriots atop the AFC East, a return to the postseason would be a nice goal for a club that is clearly trending in the right direction.
Miami Dolphins Super Bowl Odds
Super Bowl Odds: +6500
AFC Championship Odds: +2500
AFC East Odds: +800
Odds Dolphins Make Playoffs: +375
Dolphins Regular Season Win Total: 7.5
Even though Miami will think it's a playoff team this year, the oddsmakers think that it's farfetched for that to happen. The Dolphins have a season win total of just 7.5 wins, and though they still surely could do a game and a half better than that and challenge for a spot in the postseason, it could still be a long battle. Miami's odds to make the playoffs are just +375, and that's why this team is 25 to 1 to go to the Super Bowl and 65 to 1 to win it.
2017 Miami Dolphins Schedule
Week 1: Dolphins vs. Buccaneers – Sunday, September 10, 1 p.m. ET
Week 2: Dolphins at Chargers – Sunday, September 17, 4:05 p.m. ET
Week 3: Dolphins at Jets – Sunday, September 24, 1 p.m. ET
Week 4: Dolphins vs. Saints (Wembley Stadium) – Sunday, October 1, 9:30 a.m. ET
Week 5: Dolphins vs. Titans – Sunday, October 8, 1 p.m. ET
Week 6: Dolphins at Falcons – Sunday, October 15, 1 p.m. ET
Week 7: Dolphins vs. Jets – Sunday, October 22, 1 p.m. ET
Week 8: Dolphins at Ravens – Thursday, October 26, 8:25 p.m. ET
Week 9: Dolphins vs. Raiders – Sunday, November 5, 8:30 p.m. ET
Week 10: Dolphins at Panthers – Monday, November 13, 8:30 p.m. ET
Week 11: Bye
Week 12: Dolphins at Patriots – Sunday, November 26, 1 p.m. ET
Week 13: Dolphins vs. Broncos – Sunday, December 3, 1 p.m. ET
Week 14: Dolphins vs. Patriots – Monday, December 11, 8:30 p.m. ET
Week 15: Dolphins at Bills – Sunday, December 17, 1 p.m. ET
Week 16: Dolphins at Chiefs – Sunday, December 24, 1 p.m. ET
Week 17: Dolphins vs. Bills – Sunday, December 31, 1 p.m. ET
The Miami Dolphins Will Be a Success If…
… Gase can get a passing game going the same way he got the ground game going with Jay Ajayi last season.
Ajayi had some truly remarkable games last season, three of which covered more than 200 yards. Not bad for a man who was a healthy scratch in Week 1 and didn't touch the ball 10 times in a game until Week 5, eh?
But the passing game was a major issue. Miami ranked No. 26 in the NFL in passing at 218.8 yards per game, and Ryan Tannehill averaged just 7.7 yards per pass attempt with a woeful 19/12 TD/INT ratio. Matt Moore started the last three games of the season and was far more effective, and the argument could be made that he should be the quarterback for this team at this point.
Tannehill will have one more shot to prove himself at this point. The Dolphins can ditch him for a minimal cap penalty at the end of the season, and they might be quick to do so early in 2018.
The Miami Dolphins Will Be a Failure If…
… they can't figure out how to beat teams that are clearly better than they are.
The Dolphins played a fourth place schedule last season. They're playing a second place schedule this season. Their wins in 2016 came against the Browns, Steelers, Bills, Jets, Chargers, Rams, 49ers, Cardinals, Jets and Bills, and just one of those teams (Pittsburgh) made the playoffs. When the two teams met again in the postseason, Miami was clocked 30-12.
We're also not giving much credence to that win in October over Pittsburgh. The Steelers lost Ben Roethlisberger temporarily to an injury, and though he came back in the game, he was never the same and finished with 189 yards and two interceptions.
This year, not only do the Dolphins have to deal with the Patriots twice, but they also get the NFC South with its four contending teams, the AFC West with its four contending teams and the Ravens and Titans. That's a lot of games in which Miami is very likely to be an underdog.
Miami Dolphins 2017 Predictions
The oddsmakers have this one right. The Dolphins theoretically have a better team this year than they did a year ago. They've got one of the better offensive lines in the NFL, and a second year in Gase's complicated offense should only yield better results. Though the defense is getting older, spending a couple early draft picks on that side of the ball and bringing in Lawrence Timmons from Pittsburgh should only help.
The bottom line, though, is that Tannehill isn't one of the best 15 quarterbacks in the NFL, and the Dolphins don't really have anywhere else to turn. They're going to be severely limited with what they can do offensively.
This team reeks of 8-8 to us. Falling to 6-10 is a lot more likely against this schedule than replicating last season's 10-6 mark.
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